Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 21

Vitoria 0-4 Palmeiras: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Manoel Barradas, Salvador
Referee:
Alex Gomes Stefano

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost67%

referee Alex Gomes Stefano averages 3.7 cards a match, league average 5.1; our numbers: 4.7 cards against a league average of 5.1

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost55%

    under 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVitoria163323%23%Draw28%27%Palmeiras187448%51%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%47%O2.545%41%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Palmeiras5:1VitoriaL
  2. Palmeiras0:0VitoriaD
  3. Vitoria2:2PalmeirasD
  4. Palmeiras0:2VitoriaW
  5. Vitoria0:1PalmeirasL
Vitoria's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.1under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.1under 5.5: 67%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 7
RefereeA. Gomes Stefano−1.5 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.5total 2.5Attack/defence1.0 : 1.3total 2.3
Vitoria : Palmeiras
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-112%0-210%0-09%1-0—1-29%Attack/defence1-113%0-112%0-28%0-010%1-010%1-29%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-112%0-112%0-20-210%0-28%0-00-09%0-010%1-01-0—1-010%1-21-29%1-29%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals76%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals72%68%68%
12 – no draw71%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals55%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%58%58%
Both teams to score: no51%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes49%47%47%
2 – Palmeiras win48%42% · Elo 51%42%· Elo 51%
Over 2.5 goals45%41%41%
X – draw28%29% · Elo 27%29%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals28%32%32%
Over 3.5 goals24%21%21%
1 – Vitoria win23%29% · Elo 23%29%· Elo 23%
Attack vs defence
Vitoria attack vs Palmeiras defenceattack1423defence1625−202 pts to the attack
Palmeiras attack vs Vitoria defenceattack1590defence1468+122 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Palmeiras concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Palmeiras matches average 12.4 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Vitoria played 3 days ago
  • Palmeiras played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Palmeiras30189352:2263
12Vitoria301061433:4436
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Vitoria vs Palmeiras?

Vitoria 0-4 Palmeiras (half time 0-2).

Did the Vitoria vs Palmeiras tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.