Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 28
Shanghai SIPG vs Chengdu Rongcheng: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%56%O2.565%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Chengdu Rongcheng0:1Shanghai SIPGW
- Chengdu Rongcheng4:1Shanghai SIPGL
- Shanghai SIPG1:3Chengdu RongchengL
- Chengdu Rongcheng3:1Shanghai SIPGL
- Shanghai SIPG2:0Chengdu RongchengW
Shanghai SIPG's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.5total 3.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Shanghai SIPG : Chengdu RongchengMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-0—1-27%0-1—2-06%2-27%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%0-17%2-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%2-02-06%2-07%2-22-27%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65%53% | 53% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Shanghai SIPG win | 46%43% · Elo 44% | 43%· Elo 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43%31% | 31% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Chengdu Rongcheng win | 29%31% · Elo 28% | 31%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 24%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Shanghai SIPG attack vs Chengdu Rongcheng defenceattack1597defence1633−36 pts to the attack
Chengdu Rongcheng attack vs Shanghai SIPG defenceattack1567defence1574−7 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.565%59%
8.552%52%
9.539%42%
10.528%31%
Each team on its own
Shanghai SIPGwe expect 5.5, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 63%
Chengdu Rongchengwe expect 3.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 23.0 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.551%52%
23.544%45%
24.538%39%
25.531%32%
Each team on its own
Shanghai SIPGwe expect 10.3, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 34%
Chengdu Rongchengwe expect 12.7, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 59%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 66%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 34%over
We expect 4.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.583%60%
3.566%43%
4.548%27%
5.531%18%
Each team on its own
Shanghai SIPGwe expect 2.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 65%
Chengdu Rongchengwe expect 2.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 68%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chengdu Rongcheng: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Chengdu Rongcheng score a lot late on: 13 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Shanghai SIPG: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Chengdu Rongcheng: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Shanghai SIPG
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | 52 |
| 7 | Shanghai SIPG | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Shanghai SIPG vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
Shanghai SIPG are the favourites. Chances: Shanghai SIPG win 46%, draw 24%, Chengdu Rongcheng win 29%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Shanghai SIPG vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Shanghai SIPG 1.9, Chengdu Rongcheng 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 65%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Shanghai SIPG vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The chance that both teams score is 66%.
When is Shanghai SIPG vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
The Chinese Super League match kicks off 18 October 2026, 13:00 (UK time).