Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 27

Chengdu Rongcheng 0-1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 10 October · 12:35

Chengdu Rongcheng

0-1 3-2 4-5 2-1 0-0

0-1Full time(half time 0-0)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

1-0 2-1 1-1 0-0 2-4

Stadium:: Chengdu Phoenix Hill Football Stadium, Sichuan

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: 10 October 2026, 08:40. A published tip never changes.

Main tip

Both Teams To Score: YesLost58%

goals at both ends in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave

Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloChengdu Rongcheng146049%60%Draw26%23%Tianjin Jinmen Tiger133425%17%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%49%O2.557%49%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.9not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

15/05/202615/05/26Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1:2Chengdu RongchengW
18/07/202518/07/25Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2:1Chengdu RongchengL
02/03/202502/03/25Chengdu Rongcheng1:2Tianjin Jinmen TigerL
12/07/202412/07/24Chengdu Rongcheng2:1Tianjin Jinmen TigerW
06/04/202406/04/24Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2:3Chengdu RongchengW

Chengdu Rongcheng's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.1under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5

Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 0

Refereeawaiting appointment

Dutching(several bets at once)69%O2.51:1coverageleague 71% · H2H 5/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.7 : 1.2total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 0.9total 2.6

Chengdu Rongcheng : Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Most likely scores

Market1-08%1-112%2-08%2-110%0-0—1-27%3-0—Attack/defence1-012%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-08%1-2—3-06%

MarketAttack/defence1-01-08%1-012%1-11-112%1-112%2-02-08%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%1-21-27%1-2—3-03-0—3-06%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	80%74%	74%
1X – home team avoid defeat	75%81%	81%
12 – no draw	74%76%	76%
Under 3.5 goals	66%73%	73%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes	59%49%	49%
Over 2.5 goals	57%49%	49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	51%43%	43%
1 – Chengdu Rongcheng win	49%57% · Elo 60%	57%· Elo 60%
Under 2.5 goals	43%51%	51%
Both teams to score: no	41%51%	51%
Over 3.5 goals	34%27%	27%
X – draw	26%24% · Elo 23%	24%· Elo 23%
2 – Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win	25%19% · Elo 17%	19%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals	20%26%	26%

Attack vs defence

Chengdu Rongcheng attack vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger defenceattack1581defence1548+33 pts to the attack

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger attack vs Chengdu Rongcheng defenceattack1441defence1632−191 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Under 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%

We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

7.562%60%

8.549%53%

9.537%42%

10.526%31%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Chengdu Rongchengwe expect 4.8, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 35%

Tianjin Jinmen Tigerwe expect 3.7, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 50%

Foulsleague average

Under 23.5 · 73%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 27%

We expect 20.4 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

22.533%53%

23.527%45%

24.521%39%

25.517%32%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Chengdu Rongchengwe expect 9.7, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 28%

Tianjin Jinmen Tigerwe expect 10.3, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 25%

Offsidesleague average

Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%

We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

2.566%60%

3.545%43%

4.526%27%

5.514%18%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Chengdu Rongchengwe expect 2.0, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 59%

Tianjin Jinmen Tigerwe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 41%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Chengdu Rongcheng: only 12 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger score a lot late on: 15 of 30 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Chengdu Rongcheng: 34 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 28 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form