Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1-0 Liaoning Tieren: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
TEDA Soccer Stadium, Tianjin
Referee:
Di Wang

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won66%

under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (58% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTianjin Jinmen Tiger133448%55%Draw27%25%Liaoning Tieren120826%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%54%O2.552%53%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Liaoning Tieren3:0Tianjin Jinmen TigerL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 66%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 0
RefereeD. Wang−0.7 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.8 : 1.0total 2.8
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger : Liaoning Tieren
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%2-08%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%1-011%2-110%2-010%0-06%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-111%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-010%0-00-07%0-06%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%79%79%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals70%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes55%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%45%45%
Over 2.5 goals52%53%53%
1 – Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win48%55% · Elo 55%55%· Elo 55%
Under 2.5 goals48%47%47%
Both teams to score: no45%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals30%31%31%
X – draw27%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
2 – Liaoning Tieren win26%21% · Elo 20%21%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals23%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger attack vs Liaoning Tieren defenceattack1451defence1404+47 pts to the attack
Liaoning Tieren attack vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger defenceattack1428defence1543−115 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Liaoning Tieren concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger score a lot late on: 16 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Liaoning Tieren: newly promoted
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Liaoning Tieren: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Tianjin Jinmen Tiger27108937:3228
14Liaoning Tieren27751535:4826
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren?

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1-0 Liaoning Tieren (half time 1-0).

Did the Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.