Yunnan Yukun 5-0 Liaoning Tieren: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Yuxi Plateau Sports Center, Yuxi
Referee:
Wei Wang

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won73%

over 2.5 goals in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches); our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won63%

    under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloYunnan Yukun128057%49%Draw21%27%Liaoning Tieren120822%24%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%64%O2.573%67%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Liaoning Tieren1:2Yunnan YukunW
Yunnan Yukun's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.2under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeW. Wangfirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.4total 3.8Attack/defence2.1 : 1.3total 3.4
Yunnan Yukun : Liaoning Tieren
Most likely scores
Market2-19%1-18%2-06%3-17%1-0—2-26%Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-07%3-17%1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%1-11-18%1-19%2-02-06%2-07%3-13-17%3-17%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-26%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals90%86%86%
12 – no draw79%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%78%78%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals73%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes70%64%64%
1 – Yunnan Yukun win57%56% · Elo 49%56%· Elo 49%
Over 3.5 goals53%45%45%
Under 3.5 goals47%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%44%44%
Both teams to score: no30%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals27%33%33%
2 – Liaoning Tieren win22%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
X – draw21%21% · Elo 27%21%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals10%14%14%
Attack vs defence
Yunnan Yukun attack vs Liaoning Tieren defenceattack1564defence1415+149 pts to the attack
Liaoning Tieren attack vs Yunnan Yukun defenceattack1434defence1421+13 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Yunnan Yukun concede 2.7 goals per game
  • Liaoning Tieren concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Yunnan Yukun: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Liaoning Tieren: newly promoted
  • Yunnan Yukun: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Liaoning Tieren: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Yunnan Yukun271151155:5838
14Liaoning Tieren27751535:4826
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Yunnan Yukun vs Liaoning Tieren?

Yunnan Yukun 5-0 Liaoning Tieren (half time 2-0).

Did the Yunnan Yukun vs Liaoning Tieren tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.