Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 24
Beijing Guoan 3-3 Yunnan Yukun: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Workers Stadium, Beijing
- Referee:
- Shan Dan'ao
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won59%
our numbers: 4.1 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2; over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (41% of league matches)
Other tips
- Match Result: Beijing GuoanLost64%
Beijing Guoan: won 7 of their last 10 league matches; 4 league wins in a row
- Cards: Under 4.5Won62%
under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost8%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%66%O2.578%72%|exp. goals 2.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Yunnan Yukun3:3Beijing GuoanD
- Beijing Guoan2:1Yunnan YukunW
- Yunnan Yukun0:2Beijing GuoanW
Beijing Guoan's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.7 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.2under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. Dan'ao−0.1 cards vs average9 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 1.4total 4.1Attack/defence2.4 : 1.3total 3.7
Beijing Guoan : Yunnan YukunMost likely scores
Market2-18%3-18%1-17%2-06%2-26%3-0—Attack/defence2-19%3-18%1-18%2-07%2-26%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-18%2-19%3-13-18%3-18%1-11-17%1-18%2-02-06%2-07%2-22-26%2-26%3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 92%88% | 88% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 82%81% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71%66% | 66% |
| 1 – Beijing Guoan win | 64%62% · Elo 60% | 62%· Elo 60% |
| Our tip: Over 3.5 goals | 59%51% | 51% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 41%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 36%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 29%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 22%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 18%19% · Elo 23% | 19%· Elo 23% |
| 2 – Yunnan Yukun win | 18%19% · Elo 17% | 19%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8%12% | 12% |
Attack vs defence
Beijing Guoan attack vs Yunnan Yukun defenceattack1658defence1438+220 pts to the attack
Yunnan Yukun attack vs Beijing Guoan defenceattack1565defence1551+14 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Yunnan Yukun concede 2.2 goals per game
- Beijing Guoan score 2.3 goals per game
- Yunnan Yukun: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Beijing Guoan: 4 wins in a row
- Beijing Guoan concede a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Beijing Guoan: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Yunnan Yukun: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
Beijing Guoan
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | 38 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?
Beijing Guoan 3-3 Yunnan Yukun (half time 1-0).
Did the Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.