1. LigaMatchday 10

Zlin 0-1 Slavia Prague: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Letna Stadion, Zlin
Referee:
Marek Radina

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Slavia Prague (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won65%

Slavia Prague: under 2.5 card points in 7 of their last 9 league matches, Zlin's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 9 of 9 (57% of league matches); 2.0 card points a match, Zlin's opponents collected 1.0 card points on average, league average 2.4; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Match Result: Slavia PragueWon76%

    Slavia Prague: won 7 of their last 9 league matches; Zlin: winless in their last 9 league matches

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost59%

    over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (52% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Zlin: Under 3.5Won59%

    Zlin: 2.2 shots on target a match, Slavia Prague's opponents had 2.3 on average, league average 4.5; under 3.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 9 league matches, Slavia Prague's opponents had under 3.5 in 7 of 9 (40% of league matches)

  • Offsides: Under 2.5Won64%

    under 2.5 offsides in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (62% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Zlin: Over 11.5Won55%

    Zlin: over 11.5 fouls in 6 of their last 9 league matches, Slavia Prague's opponents committed over 11.5 in 6 of 9 (51% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:3Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloZlin14248%10%Draw15%17%Slavia Prague184278%73%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%52%O2.561%57%|exp. goals 0.9 : 2.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Zlin1:3Slavia PragueL
  2. Slavia Prague0:0ZlinD
  3. Zlin1:1Slavia PragueD
  4. Slavia Prague2:1ZlinL
  5. Zlin0:4Slavia PragueL
Zlin's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8under 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Radina−0.2 yellow cards vs average34 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.6 : 2.5total 3.1Attack/defence0.9 : 2.1total 3.0
Zlin : Slavia Prague
Most likely scores
Market0-213%0-311%0-110%1-29%1-18%1-3—Attack/defence0-211%0-38%0-110%1-210%1-110%1-37%
MarketAttack/defence0-20-213%0-211%0-30-311%0-38%0-10-110%0-110%1-21-29%1-210%1-11-18%1-110%1-31-3—1-37%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat93%86%86%
12 – no draw86%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals83%80%80%
2 – Slavia Prague win78%65% · Elo 73%65%· Elo 73%
Under 3.5 goals62%65%65%
Over 2.5 goals61%57%57%
Both teams to score: no56%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes44%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals39%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals38%35%35%
1X – home team avoid defeat23%35%35%
Under 1.5 goals17%20%20%
X – draw15%20% · Elo 17%20%· Elo 17%
1 – Zlin win8%14% · Elo 10%14%· Elo 10%
Attack vs defence
Zlin attack vs Slavia Prague defenceattack1401defence1691−290 pts to the attack
Slavia Prague attack vs Zlin defenceattack1737defence1399+338 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.555%61%
8.542%45%
9.530%30%
10.520%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Zlinwe expect 3.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 24%
Slavia Praguewe expect 4.5, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 65%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 23.7 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.556%56%
23.550%50%
24.543%44%
25.537%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Zlinwe expect 12.2, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Slavia Praguewe expect 12.9, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 51%
Referee: 22.1 fouls per match on average (22 matches in our data)−2.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 2.2 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.563%67%
2.536%38%
3.517%20%
4.57%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Zlinwe expect 0.8, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 20%
Slavia Praguewe expect 1.3, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 37%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Slavia Prague score 2.8 goals per game
  • Slavia Prague: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Slavia Prague concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Slavia Prague: 4 wins in a row
  • Zlin: no win in 9 matches
  • Zlin: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 9 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Zlin: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Slavia Prague: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Slavia Prague1082026:626
16Zlin100198:201
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Zlin vs Slavia Prague?

Zlin 0-1 Slavia Prague (half time 0-1).

Did the Zlin vs Slavia Prague tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Slavia Prague (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.