1. DivisionMatchday 11
HB Koege vs Gladsaxe: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%56%O2.561%52%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- HB Koege0:0GladsaxeD
- Gladsaxe2:1HB KoegeL
- HB Koege1:0GladsaxeW
- HB Koege3:0GladsaxeW
- Gladsaxe2:0HB KoegeL
HB Koege's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.0league 3.2under 3.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.7
HB Koege : GladsaxeMost likely scores
Market1-111%0-1—1-28%1-06%2-18%2-27%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-28%1-08%2-18%2-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%0-10-1—0-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-06%1-08%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-2—0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%63% | 63% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%52% | 52% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%71% | 71% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%29% | 29% |
| 1 – HB Koege win | 37%36% · Elo 41% | 36%· Elo 41% |
| 2 – Gladsaxe win | 37%37% · Elo 32% | 37%· Elo 32% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
HB Koege attack vs Gladsaxe defenceattack1471defence1496−25 pts to the attack
Gladsaxe attack vs HB Koege defenceattack1509defence1463+46 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.551%53%
9.538%45%
10.527%37%
11.518%28%
Each team on its own
HB Koegewe expect 4.1, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Gladsaxewe expect 4.4, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 20.8 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.565%50%
19.557%45%
20.550%43%
21.542%40%
Each team on its own
HB Koegewe expect 9.8, league average 9.5 · chance of over 9.5: 51%
Gladsaxewe expect 11.1, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%62%
3.543%42%
4.525%28%
5.512%18%
Each team on its own
HB Koegewe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Gladsaxewe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- HB Koege matches average only 1.9 cards (league 3.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Gladsaxe: newly promoted
- HB Koege: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Gladsaxe: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gladsaxe | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 8 | HB Koege | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win HB Koege vs Gladsaxe?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: HB Koege win 37%, draw 26%, Gladsaxe win 37%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in HB Koege vs Gladsaxe?
Expected goals: 3.2 (HB Koege 1.6, Gladsaxe 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in HB Koege vs Gladsaxe?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is HB Koege vs Gladsaxe?
The 1. Division match kicks off 16 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).