1. DivisionMatchday 12
Hvidovre IF vs HB Koege: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%O2.549%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- HB Koege0:2Hvidovre IFW
- Hvidovre IF3:1HB KoegeW
- HB Koege0:2Hvidovre IFW
- HB Koege1:0Hvidovre IFL
- Hvidovre IF1:0HB KoegeW
Hvidovre IF's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.0league 3.2under 3.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.6
Hvidovre IF : HB KoegeMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%2-19%0-08%0-17%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-011%1-011%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| 1 – Hvidovre IF win | 53%48% · Elo 56% | 48%· Elo 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 47%52% | 52% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 24% | 26%· Elo 24% |
| 2 – HB Koege win | 21%26% · Elo 20% | 26%· Elo 20% |
Attack vs defence
Hvidovre IF attack vs HB Koege defenceattack1515defence1463+52 pts to the attack
HB Koege attack vs Hvidovre IF defenceattack1471defence1560−89 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 9.4 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.559%53%
9.546%45%
10.535%37%
11.525%28%
Each team on its own
Hvidovre IFwe expect 5.4, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 61%
HB Koegewe expect 4.2, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 19.1 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.553%50%
19.545%45%
20.538%43%
21.531%40%
Each team on its own
Hvidovre IFwe expect 8.2, league average 9.5 · chance of over 9.5: 32%
HB Koegewe expect 10.9, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.568%62%
3.547%42%
4.528%28%
5.515%18%
Each team on its own
Hvidovre IFwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
HB Koegewe expect 2.1, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- HB Koege matches average only 1.9 cards (league 3.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Hvidovre IF: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Hvidovre IF: unbeaten in 10 matches
- Hvidovre IF: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- HB Koege: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre IF | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20:10 | 24 |
| 8 | HB Koege | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hvidovre IF vs HB Koege?
Hvidovre IF are the favourites. Chances: Hvidovre IF win 53%, draw 26%, HB Koege win 21%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Hvidovre IF vs HB Koege?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Hvidovre IF 1.7, HB Koege 1.0). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Hvidovre IF vs HB Koege?
The 1. Division match kicks off 23 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).