SuperligaMatchday 10

Midtjylland 2-1 FC Copenhagen: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
MCH Arena, Herning
Referee:
Jacob Karlsen

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon61%

Midtjylland: scored in each of their last 9 league matches

Other tips

  • Shots on Target: Under 9.5Won62%

    8.3 shots on target a match in the hosts' matches, 8.2 in the visitors', league average 9.0

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMidtjylland187538%46%Draw26%28%FC Copenhagen181636%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%62%O2.557%59%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Midtjylland2:1FC CopenhagenW
  2. FC Copenhagen1:1MidtjyllandD
  3. FC Copenhagen1:1MidtjyllandD
  4. Midtjylland4:2FC CopenhagenW
  5. FC Copenhagen1:0MidtjyllandL
Midtjylland's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 4
RefereeJ. Karlsen−0.3 yellow cards vs average20 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X1:2coverageleague 77% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.4total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Midtjylland : FC Copenhagen
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-28%1-07%0-17%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-07%0-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-07%1-07%0-10-17%0-17%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%81%81%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals66%64%64%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%66%66%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%59%59%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes60%62%62%
Over 2.5 goals57%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals43%41%41%
Both teams to score: no40%39%39%
1 – Midtjylland win38%41% · Elo 46%41%· Elo 46%
2 – FC Copenhagen win36%35% · Elo 26%35%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals34%36%36%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals20%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Midtjylland attack vs FC Copenhagen defenceattack1606defence1599+7 pts to the attack
FC Copenhagen attack vs Midtjylland defenceattack1624defence1572+52 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.551%53%
9.538%41%
10.527%34%
11.518%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Midtjyllandwe expect 4.4, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
FC Copenhagenwe expect 4.1, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 22.8 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.571%57%
20.564%50%
21.557%40%
22.550%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Midtjyllandwe expect 11.0, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
FC Copenhagenwe expect 12.5, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 68%
Referee: 18.7 fouls per match on average (15 matches in our data)−0.7 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 3.2 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.582%80%
2.561%54%
3.539%34%
4.522%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Midtjyllandwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
FC Copenhagenwe expect 1.7, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 49%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • FC Copenhagen score 2.4 goals per game
  • FC Copenhagen: 5 wins in a row
  • Midtjylland: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • FC Copenhagen: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Midtjylland: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • FC Copenhagen: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Copenhagen1080224:1024
2Midtjylland1064019:1022
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen?

Midtjylland 2-1 FC Copenhagen (half time 1-0).

Did the Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.