SuperligaMatchday 10

Nordsjaelland 0-0 Odense: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Right to Dream Park, Farum
Referee:
Morten Krogh

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Match Result: NordsjaellandLost64%

Nordsjaelland: won 4 of their last 4 league matches at home

Other tips

  • Fouls: Over 21.5Lost59%

    referee Morten Krogh averages 24.6 fouls a match, league average 20.7; our numbers: 23.2 fouls against a league average of 20.7

  • Shots on Target: Under 9.5Won65%

    under 9.5 shots on target in 6 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 9 (59% of league matches); 8.8 shots on target a match in the hosts' matches, 7.0 in the visitors', league average 9.0

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNordsjaelland176561%62%Draw20%22%Odense158419%16%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%55%O2.569%55%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nordsjaelland2:4OdenseL
  2. Odense1:2NordsjaellandW
  3. Odense1:1NordsjaellandD
  4. Nordsjaelland0:1OdenseL
  5. Nordsjaelland4:2OdenseW
Nordsjaelland's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.8over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 4
RefereeM. Krogh0.0 yellow cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.3total 3.6Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Nordsjaelland : Odense
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-06%2-08%3-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-010%2-09%3-16%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-06%1-010%2-02-08%2-09%3-13-17%3-16%0-00-0—0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%78%78%
12 – no draw80%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals69%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes65%55%55%
Our tip: 1 – Nordsjaelland win61%55% · Elo 62%55%· Elo 62%
Under 3.5 goals52%67%67%
Over 3.5 goals48%33%33%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%45%45%
Both teams to score: no35%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals31%45%45%
X – draw20%24% · Elo 22%24%· Elo 22%
2 – Odense win19%22% · Elo 16%22%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals12%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Nordsjaelland attack vs Odense defenceattack1547defence1471+76 pts to the attack
Odense attack vs Nordsjaelland defenceattack1434defence1554−120 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.547%53%
9.535%41%
10.524%34%
11.516%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Nordsjaellandwe expect 4.5, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Odensewe expect 3.7, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 31%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 66%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 34%over
We expect 23.2 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.573%57%
20.566%51%
21.559%40%
22.553%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Nordsjaellandwe expect 9.7, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 38%
Odensewe expect 11.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 59%
Referee: 24.6 fouls per match on average (15 matches in our data)+4.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.576%81%
2.553%55%
3.531%34%
4.515%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Nordsjaellandwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Odensewe expect 1.2, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 33%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Odense matches average 12.4 corners (league 9.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Nordsjaelland: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Odense: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Nordsjaelland1053214:1018
9Odense102448:1410
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Nordsjaelland vs Odense?

Nordsjaelland 0-0 Odense (half time 0-0).

Did the Nordsjaelland vs Odense tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Nordsjaelland. The tip lost.