SuperligaMatchday 11
Viborg vs Midtjylland: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 5d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%61%O2.561%58%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Midtjylland3:3ViborgD
- Viborg1:1MidtjyllandD
- Viborg3:3MidtjyllandD
- Midtjylland2:0ViborgL
- Viborg1:0MidtjyllandW
Viborg's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.7total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Viborg : MidtjyllandMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%0-16%2-27%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-17%2-26%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-16%0-17%2-22-27%2-26%1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%58% | 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 57%61% | 61% |
| 2 – Midtjylland win | 43%39% · Elo 49% | 39%· Elo 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%39% | 39% |
| 1 – Viborg win | 32%36% · Elo 24% | 36%· Elo 24% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Viborg attack vs Midtjylland defenceattack1533defence1576−43 pts to the attack
Midtjylland attack vs Viborg defenceattack1600defence1526+74 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.547%53%
9.535%41%
10.525%34%
11.516%24%
Each team on its own
Viborgwe expect 4.3, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 28%
Midtjyllandwe expect 3.8, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 33%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 78%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 22%over
We expect 25.4 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.583%57%
20.578%51%
21.573%39%
22.567%33%
Each team on its own
Viborgwe expect 13.7, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 77%
Midtjyllandwe expect 12.2, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 65%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 57%close to the league averageunder 43%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.580%80%
2.557%54%
3.535%34%
4.519%18%
Each team on its own
Viborgwe expect 1.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Midtjyllandwe expect 1.2, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Midtjylland13 matches unbeaten awayoverall: 10Went on 81%League 55%Model 68%Record 35
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Midtjylland: unbeaten in 10 matches
- Viborg: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Midtjylland: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Viborg | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 20 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Viborg vs Midtjylland?
Midtjylland are the favourites. Chances: Viborg win 32%, draw 25%, Midtjylland win 43%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Viborg vs Midtjylland?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Viborg 1.5, Midtjylland 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Viborg vs Midtjylland?
The chance that both teams score is 63%.
When is Viborg vs Midtjylland?
The Superliga match kicks off 19 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).