ChampionshipMatchday 6

Bolton 2-3 West Ham: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich
Referee:
David Webb

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won58%

referee David Webb averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%

    over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won37%

referee David Webb averages 2.7 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBolton144221%7%Draw23%13%West Ham190656%80%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%55%O2.561%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bolton3:0West HamW
  2. West Ham1:3BoltonW
  3. West Ham1:2BoltonW
  4. Bolton3:1West HamW
  5. Bolton2:1West HamW
Bolton's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.4over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.9under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.won · ended 2
RefereeD. Webb−1.1 cards vs average30 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.7
Bolton : West Ham
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%1-0—0-29%2-1—0-18%0-0—1-37%Attack/defence1-113%1-28%1-09%0-2—2-19%0-18%0-07%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-21-210%1-28%1-01-0—1-09%0-20-29%0-2—2-12-1—2-19%0-10-18%0-18%0-00-0—0-07%1-31-37%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat79%59%59%
12 – no draw77%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals62%71%71%
Over 2.5 goals61%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes60%55%55%
2 – West Ham win56%32% · Elo 80%32%· Elo 80%
1X – home team avoid defeat44%68%68%
Both teams to score: no40%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals39%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals38%29%29%
X – draw23%26% · Elo 13%26%· Elo 13%
1 – Bolton win21%41% · Elo 7%41%· Elo 7%
Under 1.5 goals17%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Bolton attack vs West Ham defenceattack1491defence1497−6 pts to the attack
West Ham attack vs Bolton defenceattack1533defence1491+42 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Bolton: newly promoted
  • West Ham: newly promoted
  • Bolton played 3 days ago
  • West Ham played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5West Ham944123:1216
14Bolton1041515:1813
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bolton vs West Ham?

Bolton 2-3 West Ham (half time 2-2).

Did the Bolton vs West Ham tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.