ChampionshipMatchday 5

West Ham 3-0 Derby: prediction, tips and result

·

3-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
London Stadium, London
Referee:
Oliver Langford

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWest Ham190671%77%Draw17%14%Derby155312%9%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%56%O2.561%52%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Derby2:1West HamL
  2. West Ham3:1DerbyW
  3. West Ham2:1DerbyW
  4. Derby0:5West HamW
  5. West Ham1:2DerbyL
West Ham's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeO. Langford−0.4 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.8total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
West Ham : Derby
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-012%2-110%1-09%3-09%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%2-08%2-19%1-010%3-0—0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-112%2-02-012%2-08%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-09%1-010%3-03-09%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat88%71%71%
12 – no draw83%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals83%76%76%
1 – West Ham win71%45% · Elo 77%45%· Elo 77%
Under 3.5 goals62%70%70%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals61%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes51%56%56%
Both teams to score: no49%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals39%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals38%30%30%
X2 – away team avoid defeat29%55%55%
X – draw17%26% · Elo 14%26%· Elo 14%
Under 1.5 goals17%24%24%
2 – Derby win12%29% · Elo 9%29%· Elo 9%
Attack vs defence
West Ham attack vs Derby defenceattack1526defence1493+33 pts to the attack
Derby attack vs West Ham defenceattack1503defence1486+17 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • West Ham: newly promoted
  • West Ham: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Derby: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5West Ham944123:1216
23Derby91358:156
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of West Ham vs Derby?

West Ham 3-0 Derby (half time 1-0).

Did the West Ham vs Derby tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.