ChampionshipMatchday 5
Burnley 1-2 Bristol City: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Turf Moor, Burnley
- Referee:
- Gavin Ward
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%55%O2.552%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Burnley1:0Bristol CityW
- Bristol City0:1BurnleyW
- Bristol City1:2BurnleyW
- Burnley2:1Bristol CityW
- Burnley4:0Bristol CityW
Burnley's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeG. Ward−0.8 cards vs average28 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Burnley : Bristol CityMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-010%2-09%0-1—1-2—0-07%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-010%2-08%0-18%1-27%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-010%1-010%2-02-09%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-2—1-27%0-00-07%0-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%51% | 51% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Burnley win | 49%44% · Elo 61% | 44%· Elo 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 22% | 26%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – Bristol City win | 25%30% · Elo 17% | 30%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Burnley attack vs Bristol City defenceattack1509defence1492+17 pts to the attack
Bristol City attack vs Burnley defenceattack1481defence1465+16 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Burnley: newly promoted
- Burnley played 3 days ago
- Bristol City: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Burnley vs Bristol City?
Burnley 1-2 Bristol City (half time 0-0).