ChampionshipMatchday 4
Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Turf Moor, Burnley
- Referee:
- Matt Donohue
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost60%
our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost38%
our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%57%O2.560%54%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Middlesbrough0:0BurnleyD
- Burnley1:1MiddlesbroughD
- Middlesbrough1:2BurnleyW
- Burnley3:1MiddlesbroughW
- Middlesbrough0:0BurnleyD
Burnley's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeM. Donohue+0.5 cards vs average30 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.8
Burnley : MiddlesbroughMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%0-17%2-17%1-0—0-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-18%2-18%1-08%0-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-17%0-18%2-12-17%2-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-27%0-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 71%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%57% | 57% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%69% | 69% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 60%54% | 54% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%60% | 60% |
| 2 – Middlesbrough win | 45%40% · Elo 23% | 40%· Elo 23% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%31% | 31% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Burnley win | 30%34% · Elo 51% | 34%· Elo 51% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Burnley attack vs Middlesbrough defenceattack1513defence1560−47 pts to the attack
Middlesbrough attack vs Burnley defenceattack1585defence1461+124 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Burnley: newly promoted
- Burnley: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Middlesbrough: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Burnley vs Middlesbrough?
Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough (half time 0-1).
Did the Burnley vs Middlesbrough tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.