League OneMatchday 11

Barnsley vs Cambridge: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 3d 8h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloBarnsley129841%41%Draw26%27%Cambridge130333%32%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%60%O2.559%57%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Barnsley1:1CambridgeD
  2. Cambridge1:1BarnsleyD
  3. Barnsley0:2CambridgeL
  4. Cambridge0:4BarnsleyW
  5. Barnsley2:0CambridgeW
Barnsley's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 10.5over 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Barnsley : Cambridge
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-28%0-1—1-07%2-26%Attack/defence1-112%2-18%1-29%0-17%1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-28%1-29%0-10-1—0-17%1-01-07%1-07%2-22-26%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%80%80%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%62%62%
Under 3.5 goals63%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes62%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%63%63%
Over 2.5 goals59%57%57%
1 – Barnsley win41%37% · Elo 41%37%· Elo 41%
Under 2.5 goals41%43%43%
Both teams to score: no38%40%40%
Over 3.5 goals37%35%35%
2 – Cambridge win33%38% · Elo 32%38%· Elo 32%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals18%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Barnsley attack vs Cambridge defenceattack1504defence1516−12 pts to the attack
Cambridge attack vs Barnsley defenceattack1508defence1397+111 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Barnsley matches average 13.1 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Cambridge: newly promoted
  • Barnsley: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Cambridge: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Cambridge944114:1116
19Barnsley82248:158
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Barnsley vs Cambridge?

It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Barnsley win 41%, draw 26%, Cambridge win 33%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Cambridge?

Expected goals: 3.0 (Barnsley 1.6, Cambridge 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Cambridge?

The chance that both teams score is 62%.

When is Barnsley vs Cambridge?

The League One match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).