League OneMatchday 11
Bradford vs Stevenage: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%38%O2.542%30%|exp. goals 1.1 : 0.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bradford0:1StevenageL
- Stevenage1:1BradfordD
- Stevenage2:3BradfordW
- Bradford3:0StevenageW
- Stevenage0:1BradfordW
Bradford's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.5over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.1 : 0.8total 1.9
Bradford : StevenageMost likely scores
Market1-013%0-010%1-113%0-1—2-010%2-19%Attack/defence1-016%0-015%1-114%0-112%2-09%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-016%0-00-010%0-015%1-11-113%1-114%0-10-1—0-112%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-19%2-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%87% | 87% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%68% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%57% | 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%62% | 62% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%60% | 60% |
| 1 – Bradford win | 49%40% · Elo 40% | 40%· Elo 40% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42%30% | 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%43% | 43% |
| X – draw | 28%32% · Elo 28% | 32%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Stevenage win | 24%27% · Elo 33% | 27%· Elo 33% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%13% | 13% |
Attack vs defence
Bradford attack vs Stevenage defenceattack1417defence1601−184 pts to the attack
Stevenage attack vs Bradford defenceattack1409defence1622−213 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 6.4 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.545%61%
7.531%43%
8.520%30%
9.512%17%
Each team on its own
Bradfordwe expect 2.9, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 33%
Stevenagewe expect 3.0, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Over 18.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 19.6 in this match, 18.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.17.564%56%
18.556%53%
19.549%53%
20.541%51%
Each team on its own
Bradfordwe expect 9.4, league average 8.9 · chance of over 8.5: 58%
Stevenagewe expect 10.4, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 57%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.562%60%
3.540%43%
4.522%23%
5.511%14%
Each team on its own
Bradfordwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Stevenagewe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Bradford: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Bradford concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Bradford matches average 12.7 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Bradford: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Stevenage: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 17 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bradford vs Stevenage?
Bradford are the favourites. Chances: Bradford win 49%, draw 28%, Stevenage win 24%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Bradford vs Stevenage?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Bradford 1.5, Stevenage 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 42%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Bradford vs Stevenage?
The chance that both teams score is 47%.
When is Bradford vs Stevenage?
The League One match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).