League OneMatchday 11
Mansfield vs Oxford: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%57%O2.554%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Oxford2:2MansfieldD
- Mansfield1:1OxfordD
- Oxford3:0MansfieldL
- Mansfield2:1OxfordW
- Oxford3:0MansfieldL
Mansfield's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.5under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.7over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Mansfield : OxfordMost likely scores
Market1-113%2-19%1-08%1-28%0-17%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-17%0-18%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%69% | 69% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Mansfield win | 41%41% · Elo 27% | 41%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Oxford win | 33%33% · Elo 47% | 33%· Elo 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Mansfield attack vs Oxford defenceattack1518defence1520−2 pts to the attack
Oxford attack vs Mansfield defenceattack1548defence1508+40 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Oxford score a lot late on: 7 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Oxford: newly promoted
- Mansfield: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Oxford: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Oxford | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 14 |
| 14 | Mansfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mansfield vs Oxford?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Mansfield win 41%, draw 26%, Oxford win 33%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Mansfield vs Oxford?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Mansfield 1.5, Oxford 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Mansfield vs Oxford?
The chance that both teams score is 58%.
When is Mansfield vs Oxford?
The League One match kicks off 15 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).