League OneMatchday 13
Notts County vs Stockport: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%O2.549%54%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Notts County2:5StockportL
- Stockport2:1Notts CountyL
- Stockport1:1Notts CountyD
- Notts County1:2StockportL
- Stockport2:0Notts CountyL
Notts County's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.5under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.2 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.8
Notts County : StockportMost likely scores
Model1-112%0-111%1-29%1-09%0-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-112%0-19%1-29%1-08%0-27%2-18%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-111%0-19%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-09%1-08%0-20-28%0-27%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 70%67% | 67% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%59% | 59% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%46% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%54% | 54% |
| 2 – Stockport win | 44%41% · Elo 54% | 41%· Elo 54% |
| 1 – Notts County win | 30%33% · Elo 21% | 33%· Elo 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%31% | 31% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%23% | 23% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 24% | 26%· Elo 24% |
Attack vs defence
Notts County attack vs Stockport defenceattack1469defence1540−71 pts to the attack
Stockport attack vs Notts County defenceattack1619defence1507+112 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Notts County: newly promoted
- Notts County: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Stockport: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stockport | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:11 | 16 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Notts County vs Stockport?
Stockport are the favourites. Chances: Notts County win 30%, draw 26%, Stockport win 44%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Stockport?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Notts County 1.2, Stockport 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Notts County vs Stockport?
The League One match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).