League OneMatchday 10

Wycombe 1-4 Luton: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Adams Park, Wycombe

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon61%

goals at both ends in 7 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (56% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWycombe135535%34%Draw26%28%Luton145039%38%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%62%O2.557%61%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Wycombe1:2LutonL
  2. Luton4:0WycombeL
  3. Wycombe1:3LutonL
  4. Luton2:0WycombeL
  5. Luton3:0WycombeL
Wycombe's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.7over 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 2
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)73%X22:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.1
Wycombe : Luton
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-18%1-29%1-07%0-17%2-0—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%1-07%0-1—2-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-29%1-27%1-01-07%1-07%0-10-17%0-1—2-02-0—2-07%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%82%82%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals65%62%62%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%69%69%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes61%62%62%
Over 2.5 goals57%61%61%
Under 2.5 goals43%39%39%
2 – Luton win39%31% · Elo 38%31%· Elo 38%
Both teams to score: no39%38%38%
1 – Wycombe win35%45% · Elo 34%45%· Elo 34%
Over 3.5 goals35%38%38%
X – draw26%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Wycombe attack vs Luton defenceattack1564defence1483+81 pts to the attack
Luton attack vs Wycombe defenceattack1560defence1485+75 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wycombe concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Luton matches average 5.5 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Wycombe: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Luton: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Luton832316:1511
15Wycombe924314:2010
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Wycombe vs Luton?

Wycombe 1-4 Luton (half time 0-2).

Did the Wycombe vs Luton tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.