League TwoMatchday 10

Crawley Town 2-2 Chesterfield: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Broadfield Stadium, Crawley

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won41%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCrawley Town105519%26%Draw21%27%Chesterfield119860%47%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%50%O2.563%44%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Crawley Town1:1ChesterfieldD
  2. Chesterfield2:2Crawley TownD
  3. Chesterfield1:2Crawley TownW
  4. Crawley Town0:2ChesterfieldL
  5. Chesterfield3:0Crawley TownL
Crawley Town's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.6over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 7
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.1 : 1.4total 2.5
Crawley Town : Chesterfield
Most likely scores
Market1-110%0-18%1-210%0-29%0-0—1-0—1-37%Attack/defence1-113%0-112%1-29%0-28%0-09%1-09%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-113%0-10-18%0-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-29%0-28%0-00-0—0-09%1-01-0—1-09%1-31-37%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%70%70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat81%71%71%
12 – no draw79%72%72%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals63%44%44%
2 – Chesterfield win60%44% · Elo 47%44%· Elo 47%
Both teams to score: yes60%50%50%
Under 3.5 goals59%77%77%
Over 3.5 goals41%23%23%
1X – home team avoid defeat40%56%56%
Both teams to score: no40%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals37%56%56%
X – draw21%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
1 – Crawley Town win19%28% · Elo 26%28%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals16%30%30%
Attack vs defence
Crawley Town attack vs Chesterfield defenceattack1420defence1542−122 pts to the attack
Chesterfield attack vs Crawley Town defenceattack1570defence1453+117 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 8.3 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.570%61%
7.557%45%
8.544%26%
9.532%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Crawley Townwe expect 3.7, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 32%
Chesterfieldwe expect 4.7, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 67%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 71%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 29%
We expect 18.0 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.536%61%
20.529%57%
21.523%50%
22.518%44%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Crawley Townwe expect 8.7, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 27%
Chesterfieldwe expect 8.9, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.572%58%
3.551%42%
4.532%29%
5.518%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Crawley Townwe expect 1.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Chesterfieldwe expect 2.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 74%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Crawley Town matches average 5.0 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Crawley Town: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Chesterfield: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Chesterfield1043317:1415
24Crawley Town81258:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?

Crawley Town 2-2 Chesterfield (half time 0-1).

Did the Crawley Town vs Chesterfield tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.