League TwoMatchday 9

Gillingham 0-0 Newport County: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
MEMS Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Fouls – Newport County: Under 10.562%

Newport County: under 10.5 fouls in 4 of their last 6 league matches, Gillingham's opponents committed under 10.5 in 6 of 8 (53% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGillingham110250%46%Draw26%27%Newport County105024%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%52%O2.549%48%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gillingham3:2Newport CountyW
  2. Newport County1:3GillinghamW
  3. Newport County3:1GillinghamL
  4. Gillingham0:2Newport CountyL
  5. Newport County1:0GillinghamL
Gillingham's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 6
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.0total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Gillingham : Newport County
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-1—0-08%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-09%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-08%0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat76%70%70%
Over 1.5 goals75%73%73%
12 – no draw74%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals73%74%74%
Both teams to score: yes52%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals51%53%53%
1 – Gillingham win50%43% · Elo 46%43%· Elo 46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals49%48%48%
Both teams to score: no48%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals27%26%26%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals25%27%27%
2 – Newport County win24%30% · Elo 27%30%· Elo 27%
Attack vs defence
Gillingham attack vs Newport County defenceattack1438defence1406+32 pts to the attack
Newport County attack vs Gillingham defenceattack1447defence1440+7 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.562%60%
7.548%44%
8.535%25%
9.524%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gillinghamwe expect 4.8, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Newport Countywe expect 3.0, league average 3.2 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 20.9 in this match, 20.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.558%60%
20.551%56%
21.544%48%
22.537%43%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gillinghamwe expect 11.3, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Newport Countywe expect 9.7, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 38%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.561%60%
3.539%43%
4.522%29%
5.510%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Gillinghamwe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Newport Countywe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 46%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Gillingham1044215:1016
12Newport County1034313:1213
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gillingham vs Newport County?

Gillingham 0-0 Newport County (half time 0-0).