League TwoMatchday 10
Rotherham 1-4 Gillingham: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%47%O2.549%44%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gillingham0:2RotherhamW
- Rotherham5:1GillinghamW
- Gillingham0:3RotherhamW
- Gillingham0:1RotherhamW
- Rotherham1:3GillinghamL
Rotherham's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 4
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 5
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)65%BTTS yes1:0coverageleague 63% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.4
Rotherham : GillinghamMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-09%2-19%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-013%2-010%2-19%0-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-013%2-02-09%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-08%0-09%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%70% | 70% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%77% | 77% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Rotherham win | 47%51% · Elo 57% | 51%· Elo 57% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%53% | 53% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 24% | 27%· Elo 24% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%23% | 23% |
| 2 – Gillingham win | 26%23% · Elo 20% | 23%· Elo 20% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%30% | 30% |
Attack vs defence
Rotherham attack vs Gillingham defenceattack1519defence1449+70 pts to the attack
Gillingham attack vs Rotherham defenceattack1427defence1532−105 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.560%61%
7.545%45%
8.532%26%
9.522%18%
Each team on its own
Rotherhamwe expect 4.4, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Gillinghamwe expect 3.0, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 53%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 20.4 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.554%61%
20.547%57%
21.540%50%
22.533%44%
Each team on its own
Rotherhamwe expect 10.2, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Gillinghamwe expect 10.2, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%58%
3.543%42%
4.525%29%
5.513%12%
Each team on its own
Rotherhamwe expect 1.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Gillinghamwe expect 2.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 64%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rotherham: newly promoted
- Rotherham: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Gillingham: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Rotherham vs Gillingham?
Rotherham 1-4 Gillingham (half time 1-1).