League TwoMatchday 10

Rotherham 1-4 Gillingham: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloRotherham119247%57%Draw27%24%Gillingham110226%20%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%47%O2.549%44%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gillingham0:2RotherhamW
  2. Rotherham5:1GillinghamW
  3. Gillingham0:3RotherhamW
  4. Gillingham0:1RotherhamW
  5. Rotherham1:3GillinghamL
Rotherham's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 4
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 5
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.4
Rotherham : Gillingham
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-09%2-19%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-013%2-010%2-19%0-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-013%2-02-09%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-08%0-09%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%70%70%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%77%77%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals73%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes53%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals51%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals49%44%44%
1 – Rotherham win47%51% · Elo 57%51%· Elo 57%
Both teams to score: no47%53%53%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 24%27%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals27%23%23%
2 – Gillingham win26%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals25%30%30%
Attack vs defence
Rotherham attack vs Gillingham defenceattack1519defence1449+70 pts to the attack
Gillingham attack vs Rotherham defenceattack1427defence1532−105 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.560%61%
7.545%45%
8.532%26%
9.522%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rotherhamwe expect 4.4, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Gillinghamwe expect 3.0, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 53%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 20.4 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.554%61%
20.547%57%
21.540%50%
22.533%44%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rotherhamwe expect 10.2, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Gillinghamwe expect 10.2, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%58%
3.543%42%
4.525%29%
5.513%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rotherhamwe expect 1.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Gillinghamwe expect 2.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 64%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rotherham: newly promoted
  • Rotherham: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gillingham: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Gillingham1044215:1016
20Rotherham1024412:1610
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rotherham vs Gillingham?

Rotherham 1-4 Gillingham (half time 1-1).