League TwoMatchday 12

Walsall vs Oldham: prediction, tips and stats

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Walsall
0-00-02-01-11-1
1.2:1.1Pre-match
Oldham
0-01-40-21-20-2

Our tips

Tip in 6d 12h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloWalsall115142%43%Draw28%28%Oldham113331%30%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%O2.542%40%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Walsall1:2OldhamL
  2. Oldham0:1WalsallW
  3. Walsall2:1OldhamW
  4. Oldham1:3WalsallW
  5. Walsall1:1OldhamD
Walsall's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.1total 2.4Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Walsall : Oldham
Most likely scores
Model1-113%1-012%0-110%0-09%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-111%0-011%2-18%1-27%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-012%1-012%0-10-110%0-111%0-00-09%0-011%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeModelAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%80%80%
12 – no draw72%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%66%66%
Over 1.5 goals69%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%63%63%
Under 2.5 goals58%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals42%40%40%
1 – Walsall win42%37% · Elo 43%37%· Elo 43%
Under 1.5 goals31%33%33%
2 – Oldham win31%34% · Elo 30%34%· Elo 30%
X – draw28%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals22%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Walsall attack vs Oldham defenceattack1491defence1549−58 pts to the attack
Oldham attack vs Walsall defenceattack1521defence1518+3 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 6.9 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.552%61%
7.538%45%
8.526%27%
9.516%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Walsallwe expect 3.5, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 28%
Oldhamwe expect 3.0, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 53%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 20.5 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.555%61%
20.547%57%
21.540%51%
22.533%45%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Walsallwe expect 9.7, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 38%
Oldhamwe expect 10.8, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 50%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 75%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 25%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.547%58%
3.525%41%
4.512%28%
5.55%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Walsallwe expect 1.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Oldhamwe expect 1.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 34%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Walsall matches average 12.0 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Walsall: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • Walsall played 3 days ago
  • Oldham played 3 days ago

League form

Walsall

Oldham

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Walsall936012:615
21Oldham92259:138
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Walsall vs Oldham?

Walsall are the favourites. Chances: Walsall win 42%, draw 28%, Oldham win 31%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Walsall vs Oldham?

Expected goals: 2.4 (Walsall 1.3, Oldham 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 42%. Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Walsall vs Oldham?

The League Two match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).

See also