Premier LeagueMatchday 3
Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Emirates Stadium, London
- Referee:
- Christopher Kavanagh
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%52%O2.554%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Arsenal2:1ChelseaW
- Chelsea1:1ArsenalD
- Arsenal1:0ChelseaW
- Chelsea1:1ArsenalD
- Arsenal5:0ChelseaW
Arsenal's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 6
RefereeC. Kavanagh0.0 cards vs average38 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Arsenal : ChelseaMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-07%0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%71% | 71% |
| 1 – Arsenal win | 57%55% · Elo 71% | 55%· Elo 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%48% | 48% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 18% | 24%· Elo 18% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%25% | 25% |
| 2 – Chelsea win | 19%21% · Elo 12% | 21%· Elo 12% |
Attack vs defence
Arsenal attack vs Chelsea defenceattack1589defence1512+77 pts to the attack
Chelsea attack vs Arsenal defenceattack1562defence1702−140 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chelsea concede 2.2 goals per game
- Chelsea: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Arsenal concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Arsenal: 7 wins in a row
- Chelsea: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Arsenal: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Chelsea: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea (half time 1-1).