Premier LeagueMatchday 5

Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Referee:
Michael Oliver

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won67%

referee Michael Oliver averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 3.9

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost60%

    over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBournemouth203032%36%Draw26%28%Liverpool210543%36%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%59%O2.560%56%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bournemouth3:2LiverpoolW
  2. Liverpool4:2BournemouthL
  3. Bournemouth0:2LiverpoolL
  4. Liverpool3:0BournemouthL
  5. Bournemouth0:4LiverpoolL
Bournemouth's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.9under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Oliver−0.6 cards vs average44 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 2.9
Bournemouth : Liverpool
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-17%2-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-18%1-08%0-18%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-17%0-18%2-22-26%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%79%79%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes63%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals62%67%67%
Over 2.5 goals60%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%63%63%
2 – Liverpool win43%37% · Elo 36%37%· Elo 36%
Under 2.5 goals40%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals38%33%33%
Both teams to score: no37%41%41%
1 – Bournemouth win32%38% · Elo 36%38%· Elo 36%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals18%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Bournemouth attack vs Liverpool defenceattack1525defence1540−15 pts to the attack
Liverpool attack vs Bournemouth defenceattack1583defence1503+80 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Liverpool62317:79
18Bournemouth60337:133
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bournemouth vs Liverpool?

Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool (half time 0-0).

Did the Bournemouth vs Liverpool tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.