Premier LeagueMatchday 7

Fulham vs Hull: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 3d 12h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloFulham196456%74%Draw24%16%Hull166520%10%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%54%O2.555%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Hull0:1FulhamW
  2. Fulham2:0HullW
  3. Hull0:1FulhamW
  4. Fulham0:3HullL
  5. Hull2:2FulhamD
Fulham's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.7
Fulham : Hull
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-110%2-010%0-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-06%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat80%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals79%76%76%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals67%71%71%
1 – Fulham win56%51% · Elo 74%51%· Elo 74%
Over 2.5 goals55%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes55%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals45%48%48%
Both teams to score: no45%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat44%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals33%29%29%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 16%25%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals21%24%24%
2 – Hull win20%24% · Elo 10%24%· Elo 10%
Attack vs defence
Fulham attack vs Hull defenceattack1483defence1433+50 pts to the attack
Hull attack vs Fulham defenceattack1403defence1500−97 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.559%57%
8.546%45%
9.534%32%
10.524%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Fulhamwe expect 4.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Hullwe expect 3.9, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 73%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 27%
We expect 18.7 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.534%52%
21.527%46%
22.522%36%
23.517%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Fulhamwe expect 8.1, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 21%
Hullwe expect 10.3, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.559%63%
3.537%43%
4.520%23%
5.510%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Fulhamwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Hullwe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 42%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Fulham: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Hull: newly promoted
  • Fulham: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Hull: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Hull62318:69
20Fulham60246:102
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fulham vs Hull?

Fulham are the favourites. Chances: Fulham win 56%, draw 24%, Hull win 20%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Hull?

Expected goals: 2.9 (Fulham 1.9, Hull 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Hull?

The chance that both teams score is 55%.

When is Fulham vs Hull?

The Premier League match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).