Premier LeagueMatchday 7
Tottenham vs Coventry: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 5d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%55%O2.561%53%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Tottenham3:0CoventryW
- Coventry2:1TottenhamL
- Coventry0:1TottenhamW
- Tottenham3:2CoventryW
- Tottenham0:0CoventryD
Tottenham's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 0.9total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Tottenham : CoventryMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-010%2-110%1-09%3-08%0-1—0-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-09%2-110%1-010%3-0—0-17%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-09%1-010%3-03-08%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 86%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%75% | 75% |
| 1 – Tottenham win | 66%49% · Elo 64% | 49%· Elo 64% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%45% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%30% | 30% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 35%51% | 51% |
| X – draw | 20%25% · Elo 21% | 25%· Elo 21% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%24% | 24% |
| 2 – Coventry win | 15%26% · Elo 15% | 26%· Elo 15% |
Attack vs defence
Tottenham attack vs Coventry defenceattack1454defence1411+43 pts to the attack
Coventry attack vs Tottenham defenceattack1394defence1462−68 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.552%57%
8.538%45%
9.527%32%
10.518%21%
Each team on its own
Tottenhamwe expect 4.1, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
Coventrywe expect 3.4, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 22.2 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.560%52%
21.552%46%
22.545%36%
23.539%30%
Each team on its own
Tottenhamwe expect 11.2, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Coventrywe expect 11.1, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 4.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.579%63%
3.560%43%
4.541%23%
5.525%13%
Each team on its own
Tottenhamwe expect 2.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 73%
Coventrywe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Coventry: newly promoted
- Tottenham: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Coventry: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tottenham vs Coventry?
Tottenham are the favourites. Chances: Tottenham win 66%, draw 20%, Coventry win 15%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham vs Coventry?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Tottenham 2.2, Coventry 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Coventry?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is Tottenham vs Coventry?
The Premier League match kicks off 19 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).