Veikkausliiga

KuPS vs VPS: prediction, tips and stats

·

KuPS
1-10-02-00-10-1
1.6:0.9Pre-match
VPS
1-00-60-20-11-0

Our tips

Tip in 4d 6h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloKuPS152461%60%Draw23%23%VPS136016%18%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%47%O2.550%45%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. VPS0:2KuPSW
  2. KuPS3:1VPSW
  3. VPS1:1KuPSD
  4. VPS1:1KuPSD
  5. KuPS0:2VPSL
KuPS's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.8total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
KuPS : VPS
Most likely scores
Market1-012%1-111%2-012%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-112%2-011%2-19%0-09%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-012%1-013%1-11-111%1-112%2-02-012%2-011%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-09%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat84%80%80%
12 – no draw77%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals75%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals72%76%76%
1 – KuPS win61%54% · Elo 60%54%· Elo 60%
Both teams to score: no52%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals50%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals50%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes48%47%47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals28%24%24%
Under 1.5 goals25%29%29%
X – draw23%26% · Elo 23%26%· Elo 23%
2 – VPS win16%20% · Elo 18%20%· Elo 18%
Attack vs defence
KuPS attack vs VPS defenceattack1581defence1496+85 pts to the attack
VPS attack vs KuPS defenceattack1471defence1625−154 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.558%61%
8.545%48%
9.533%38%
10.523%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
KuPSwe expect 4.5, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
VPSwe expect 3.7, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 31%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over
We expect 22.6 in this match, 20.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.570%52%
20.563%44%
21.556%39%
22.549%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
KuPSwe expect 10.2, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
VPSwe expect 12.8, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 79%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.567%59%
3.546%37%
4.527%23%
5.514%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
KuPSwe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
VPSwe expect 1.9, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 55%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Streaks before the match

  • VPS7 matches in a row without BTTSaway: 3Went on 54%League 52%Model 52%Record 15
  • KuPS6 matches in a row under 2.5 goalsat home: 2Went on 56%League 57%Model 50%Record 16
All streaks

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • KuPS: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • VPS score only 0.7 goals per game
  • KuPS: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • VPS: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

KuPS

VPS

League position

Championship Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3KuPS27139541:2648
5VPS271161031:3139
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win KuPS vs VPS?

KuPS are the favourites. Chances: KuPS win 61%, draw 23%, VPS win 16%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in KuPS vs VPS?

Expected goals: 2.6 (KuPS 1.8, VPS 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-0.

Will both teams score in KuPS vs VPS?

The chance that both teams score is 48%.

When is KuPS vs VPS?

The Veikkausliiga match kicks off 18 October 2026, 13:00 (UK time).

See also