Ligue 1Matchday 5

Le Mans 2-1 Lorient: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
MMArena, Le Mans
Referee:
Geoffrey Kubler

The match in numbers

1X2EloLe Mans168934%32%Draw28%28%Lorient177338%40%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%53%O2.551%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Le Mans0:3LorientL
  2. Lorient1:0Le MansL
  3. Lorient1:1Le MansD
  4. Le Mans0:1LorientL
  5. Lorient0:0Le MansD
Le Mans's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeG. Kubler−1.9 cards vs average1 match

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Le Mans : Lorient
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-18%1-29%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-19%1-28%2-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-09%0-10-18%0-19%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%73%73%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals71%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%63%63%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes56%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals51%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals49%52%52%
Both teams to score: no44%47%47%
2 – Lorient win38%36% · Elo 40%36%· Elo 40%
1 – Le Mans win34%37% · Elo 32%37%· Elo 32%
Over 3.5 goals29%26%26%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals24%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Le Mans attack vs Lorient defenceattack1424defence1492−68 pts to the attack
Lorient attack vs Le Mans defenceattack1451defence1415+36 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Le Mans: newly promoted
  • Le Mans: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Lorient: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Lorient62226:68
14Le Mans613210:126
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Le Mans vs Lorient?

Le Mans 2-1 Lorient (half time 1-0).