Ligue 1Matchday 4

Lorient 2-2 Toulouse: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir, Lorient
Referee:
Aurelien Petit

The match in numbers

1X2EloLorient177340%40%Draw28%28%Toulouse179632%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%51%O2.552%45%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Toulouse1:0LorientL
  2. Lorient1:1ToulouseD
  3. Lorient1:2ToulouseL
  4. Toulouse1:1LorientD
  5. Lorient0:1ToulouseL
Lorient's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.6under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.9under 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 43% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 1
RefereeA. Petit−1.9 cards vs average1 match

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Lorient : Toulouse
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-1—2-19%0-07%1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-19%2-18%0-09%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-011%0-10-1—0-19%2-12-19%2-18%0-00-07%0-09%1-21-28%1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%71%71%
12 – no draw72%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals70%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes56%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals52%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals48%55%55%
Both teams to score: no44%49%49%
1 – Lorient win40%40% · Elo 40%40%· Elo 40%
2 – Toulouse win32%33% · Elo 32%33%· Elo 32%
Over 3.5 goals30%24%24%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals23%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Lorient attack vs Toulouse defenceattack1449defence1524−75 pts to the attack
Toulouse attack vs Lorient defenceattack1474defence1500−26 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Lorient62226:68
15Toulouse61329:116
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lorient vs Toulouse?

Lorient 2-2 Toulouse (half time 2-0).