Ligue 1Matchday 5

Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Referee:
Jeremy Stinat

The match in numbers

1X2EloParis FC179953%35%Draw24%28%Strasbourg184123%37%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%56%O2.561%52%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Strasbourg0:0Paris FCD
  2. Paris FC2:3StrasbourgL
Paris FC's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.6under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 3
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.9over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.won · ended 5
RefereeJ. Stinat+0.1 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Paris FC : Strasbourg
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%0-1—1-2—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-07%0-18%1-28%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-08%2-07%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-2—1-28%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%67%67%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Over 2.5 goals61%52%52%
Under 3.5 goals61%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes61%56%56%
1 – Paris FC win53%41% · Elo 35%41%· Elo 35%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals39%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals39%30%30%
Both teams to score: no39%44%44%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
2 – Strasbourg win23%33% · Elo 37%33%· Elo 37%
Under 1.5 goals17%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Paris FC attack vs Strasbourg defenceattack1465defence1475−10 pts to the attack
Strasbourg attack vs Paris FC defenceattack1544defence1505+39 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Strasbourg concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Strasbourg: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Paris FC: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Strasbourg: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Paris FC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Strasbourg: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Paris FC63218:411
11Strasbourg621311:127
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Paris FC vs Strasbourg?

Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg (half time 1-0).