2. BundesligaMatchday 7

Braunschweig 1-0 Holstein Kiel: prediction, tips and result

·

Braunschweig
0-13-51-32-20-1
1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Holstein Kiel
1-10-12-20-22-2
Stadium:
Eintracht-Stadion, Braunschweig
Referee:
Eric-Dominic Weisbach

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 4.5Won56%

over 4.5 card points in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (55% of league matches); 5.7 card points a match in the hosts' matches, 6.5 in the visitors', league average 4.9; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 5.5Won41%

over 5.5 card points in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (38% of league matches); 5.7 card points a match in the hosts' matches, 6.5 in the visitors', league average 4.9; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBraunschweig139936%31%Draw25%27%Holstein Kiel148140%41%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%59%O2.565%55%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Holstein Kiel2:0BraunschweigL
  2. Braunschweig1:1Holstein KielD
  3. Holstein Kiel1:2BraunschweigW
  4. Braunschweig0:1Holstein KielL
  5. Braunschweig2:3Holstein KielL
Braunschweig's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.2under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.5over 4.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 7
RefereeE.-D. Weisbach−0.1 yellow cards vs average12 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%X22:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 5/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.7total 3.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Braunschweig : Holstein Kiel
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-18%1-28%1-0—0-15%2-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%0-17%2-2—2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-15%0-17%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%78%78%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
Both teams to score: yes67%59%59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals57%67%67%
Over 3.5 goals43%33%33%
2 – Holstein Kiel win40%34% · Elo 41%34%· Elo 41%
1 – Braunschweig win36%40% · Elo 31%40%· Elo 31%
Under 2.5 goals35%45%45%
Both teams to score: no33%41%41%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals15%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Braunschweig attack vs Holstein Kiel defenceattack1451defence1499−48 pts to the attack
Holstein Kiel attack vs Braunschweig defenceattack1466defence1451+15 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 10.8 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.563%56%
10.552%52%
11.540%41%
12.530%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Braunschweigwe expect 5.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 49%
Holstein Kielwe expect 5.2, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 22.4 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.561%59%
21.554%56%
22.547%44%
23.540%39%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Braunschweigwe expect 10.6, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Holstein Kielwe expect 11.9, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 62%
Referee: 22.0 fouls per match on average (3 matches in our data)
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 74%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 26%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.547%69%
3.526%37%
4.512%30%
5.55%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Braunschweigwe expect 1.3, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Holstein Kielwe expect 1.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 30%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Holstein Kiel: no win in 8 matches
  • Braunschweig: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Holstein Kiel: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Braunschweig

Holstein Kiel

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Braunschweig721413:137
18Holstein Kiel70437:114
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel?

Braunschweig 1-0 Holstein Kiel (half time 1-0).

Did the Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 4.5. The tip won.

See also