2. BundesligaMatchday 5

Braunschweig 2-2 Dresden: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Eintracht-Stadion, Braunschweig
Referee:
Lars Erbst

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost62%

referee Lars Erbst averages 3.5 cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 4.7

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost43%

referee Lars Erbst averages 3.5 cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 4.1 cards against a league average of 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBraunschweig139935%38%Draw26%28%Dresden143139%35%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%61%O2.561%58%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Braunschweig2:1DresdenW
  2. Dresden2:3BraunschweigW
  3. Braunschweig1:1DresdenD
  4. Dresden1:1BraunschweigD
  5. Braunschweig1:0DresdenW
Braunschweig's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.2under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.7under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 5
RefereeL. Erbst−1.7 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Braunschweig : Dresden
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%1-0—2-27%0-16%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%1-08%2-26%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%2-22-27%2-26%0-10-16%0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%80%80%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes64%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%66%66%
Over 2.5 goals61%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals61%64%64%
2 – Dresden win39%34% · Elo 35%34%· Elo 35%
Under 2.5 goals39%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals39%36%36%
Both teams to score: no36%39%39%
1 – Braunschweig win35%42% · Elo 38%42%· Elo 38%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Braunschweig attack vs Dresden defenceattack1456defence1476−20 pts to the attack
Dresden attack vs Braunschweig defenceattack1478defence1452+26 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Braunschweig721413:137
16Dresden71249:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Braunschweig vs Dresden?

Braunschweig 2-2 Dresden (half time 1-1).

Did the Braunschweig vs Dresden tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.