2. BundesligaMatchday 4

Holstein Kiel 2-2 Nurnberg: prediction, tips and result

·

2-2Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Referee:
Tobias Stieler

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost55%

referee Tobias Stieler averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.7

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost37%

referee Tobias Stieler averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHolstein Kiel148143%39%Draw25%28%Nurnberg153531%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%59%O2.563%56%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Holstein Kiel2:3NurnbergL
  2. Nurnberg1:1Holstein KielD
  3. Nurnberg0:4Holstein KielW
  4. Holstein Kiel0:2NurnbergL
  5. Holstein Kiel2:1NurnbergW
Holstein Kiel's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 18
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.7under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 7
RefereeT. Stieler−0.7 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Holstein Kiel : Nurnberg
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%1-06%2-27%0-1—2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-2—0-17%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-06%1-08%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%2-02-0—2-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%79%79%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes65%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals63%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals59%66%66%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%59%59%
1 – Holstein Kiel win43%41% · Elo 39%41%· Elo 39%
Over 3.5 goals41%34%34%
Under 2.5 goals37%44%44%
Both teams to score: no35%41%41%
2 – Nurnberg win31%34% · Elo 33%34%· Elo 33%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals16%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Holstein Kiel attack vs Nurnberg defenceattack1469defence1510−41 pts to the attack
Nurnberg attack vs Holstein Kiel defenceattack1516defence1502+14 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Nurnberg: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • Nurnberg: 18 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Holstein Kiel: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Nurnberg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Nurnberg752020:1017
18Holstein Kiel70437:114
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Nurnberg?

Holstein Kiel 2-2 Nurnberg (half time 1-1).

Did the Holstein Kiel vs Nurnberg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.