2. BundesligaMatchday 6

Holstein Kiel 1-1 Osnabruck: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Referee:
Tom Bauer

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost61%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost38%

over 3.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (33% of league matches); over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHolstein Kiel148152%48%Draw24%26%Osnabruck143624%26%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%58%O2.561%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Holstein Kiel4:0OsnabruckW
  2. Osnabruck1:1Holstein KielD
  3. Osnabruck1:3Holstein KielW
  4. Holstein Kiel1:2OsnabruckL
  5. Osnabruck4:1Holstein KielL
Holstein Kiel's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.7under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 7
RefereeT. Bauer−0.5 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Holstein Kiel : Osnabruck
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-07%2-08%1-26%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-28%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-07%1-08%2-02-08%2-07%1-21-26%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%66%66%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals62%68%68%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals61%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes61%58%58%
1 – Holstein Kiel win52%41% · Elo 48%41%· Elo 48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat48%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals39%46%46%
Both teams to score: no39%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals38%32%32%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
2 – Osnabruck win24%34% · Elo 26%34%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Holstein Kiel attack vs Osnabruck defenceattack1464defence1516−52 pts to the attack
Osnabruck attack vs Holstein Kiel defenceattack1499defence1498+1 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Holstein Kiel: no win in 7 matches
  • Osnabruck: newly promoted
  • Holstein Kiel: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Osnabruck: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Osnabruck722310:138
18Holstein Kiel70437:114
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Osnabruck?

Holstein Kiel 1-1 Osnabruck (half time 1-0).

Did the Holstein Kiel vs Osnabruck tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.