2. BundesligaMatchday 8
Hannover vs St Pauli: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%56%O2.563%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Hannover1:2St PauliL
- St Pauli0:0HannoverD
- St Pauli2:0HannoverL
- Hannover2:2St PauliD
- St Pauli0:3HannoverW
Hannover's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.3over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Hannover : St PauliMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-06%2-19%2-0—1-27%0-1—2-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%2-08%1-27%0-17%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-06%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%2-22-27%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%53% | 53% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Hannover win | 44%45% · Elo 31% | 45%· Elo 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%30% | 30% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%44% | 44% |
| 2 – St Pauli win | 31%29% · Elo 42% | 29%· Elo 42% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Hannover attack vs St Pauli defenceattack1514defence1538−24 pts to the attack
St Pauli attack vs Hannover defenceattack1486defence1539−53 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 11.1 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.566%56%
10.555%52%
11.543%41%
12.533%35%
Each team on its own
Hannoverwe expect 5.2, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 42%
St Pauliwe expect 6.1, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 55%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 20.8 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.550%57%
21.543%54%
22.536%44%
23.530%40%
Each team on its own
Hannoverwe expect 10.9, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
St Pauliwe expect 9.8, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 29%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.576%65%
3.556%37%
4.537%30%
5.522%16%
Each team on its own
Hannoverwe expect 2.5, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 70%
St Pauliwe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Hannover: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- St Pauli: newly promoted
- Hannover: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- St Pauli: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | St Pauli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Hannover | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hannover vs St Pauli?
Hannover are the favourites. Chances: Hannover win 44%, draw 25%, St Pauli win 31%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Hannover vs St Pauli?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Hannover 1.8, St Pauli 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Hannover vs St Pauli?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is Hannover vs St Pauli?
The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 19:30 (UK time).