2. BundesligaMatchday 7
St Pauli 2-0 Karlsruhe: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
- Referee:
- Lukas Benen
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost64%
goals at both ends in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Cards – Karlsruhe (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won55%
Karlsruhe: under 2.5 card points in 4 of their last 6 league matches, St Pauli's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 4 of 6 (51% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%60%O2.562%59%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Karlsruhe2:1St PauliL
- St Pauli2:1KarlsruheW
- St Pauli1:1KarlsruheD
- Karlsruhe4:4St PauliD
- St Pauli3:1KarlsruheW
St Pauli's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.3under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.5under 4.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.won · ended 3
RefereeL. Benen−0.7 yellow cards vs average12 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%11:12:2coverageleague 61% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.2total 3.2Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.1
St Pauli : KarlsruheMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-07%2-08%3-17%1-2—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%3-1—1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-07%1-08%2-02-08%2-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%81% | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%76% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%59% | 59% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 62%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%64% | 64% |
| 1 – St Pauli win | 56%50% · Elo 63% | 50%· Elo 63% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 44%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 22%24% · Elo 21% | 24%· Elo 21% |
| 2 – Karlsruhe win | 22%27% · Elo 16% | 27%· Elo 16% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
St Pauli attack vs Karlsruhe defenceattack1486defence1439+47 pts to the attack
Karlsruhe attack vs St Pauli defenceattack1497defence1534−37 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 10.7 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.562%55%
10.550%52%
11.539%42%
12.529%35%
Each team on its own
St Pauliwe expect 5.7, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 49%
Karlsruhewe expect 5.1, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 22.2 in this match, 22.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.560%58%
21.553%55%
22.546%45%
23.539%40%
Each team on its own
St Pauliwe expect 10.0, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Karlsruhewe expect 12.3, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Referee: 22.5 fouls per match on average (2 matches in our data)
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.575%67%
3.555%37%
4.536%30%
5.521%15%
Each team on its own
St Pauliwe expect 2.7, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 73%
Karlsruhewe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Karlsruhe concede 2.0 goals per game
- Karlsruhe: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- St Pauli: newly promoted
- St Pauli: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Karlsruhe: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | St Pauli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 17 | Karlsruhe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of St Pauli vs Karlsruhe?
St Pauli 2-0 Karlsruhe (half time 1-0).
Did the St Pauli vs Karlsruhe tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.