2. BundesligaMatchday 6

Karlsruhe 0-1 Nurnberg: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Wildparkstadion, Karlsruhe
Referee:
Timo Gansloweit

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost71%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (59% of league matches); our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won56%

    our numbers: 4.4 cards against a league average of 4.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost8%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKarlsruhe143433%33%Draw23%28%Nurnberg153544%39%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%65%O2.571%63%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.6not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nurnberg5:1KarlsruheL
  2. Karlsruhe2:1NurnbergW
  3. Nurnberg2:1KarlsruheL
  4. Karlsruhe3:2NurnbergW
  5. Nurnberg0:1KarlsruheW
Karlsruhe's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.7under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeT. Gansloweit−0.7 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 2.0total 3.7Attack/defence1.7 : 1.6total 3.3
Karlsruhe : Nurnberg
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-17%1-28%2-27%1-36%1-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-3—1-06%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-17%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-31-36%1-3—1-01-0—1-06%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%84%84%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals71%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes71%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%63%63%
Over 3.5 goals51%41%41%
Under 3.5 goals49%59%59%
2 – Nurnberg win44%37% · Elo 39%37%· Elo 39%
1 – Karlsruhe win33%39% · Elo 33%39%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals29%37%37%
Both teams to score: no29%35%35%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals11%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Karlsruhe attack vs Nurnberg defenceattack1506defence1509−3 pts to the attack
Nurnberg attack vs Karlsruhe defenceattack1528defence1435+93 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Karlsruhe concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Nurnberg score 2.4 goals per game
  • Karlsruhe: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Nurnberg: unbeaten in 10 matches
  • Nurnberg: 21 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Karlsruhe: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Nurnberg: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Nurnberg752020:1017
17Karlsruhe71246:145
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Karlsruhe vs Nurnberg?

Karlsruhe 0-1 Nurnberg (half time 0-1).

Did the Karlsruhe vs Nurnberg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.