2. BundesligaMatchday 7
Hertha 2-1 Greuther Furth: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Olympiastadion, Berlin
- Referee:
- Tobias Stieler
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Match Result: HerthaWon62%
Hertha: won 6 of their last 6 league matches; 6 league wins in a row
Other tips
- Cards – Greuther Furth (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won57%
Greuther Furth: under 2.5 card points in 5 of their last 6 league matches, Hertha's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 5 of 6 (51% of league matches); 1.2 card points a match, Hertha's opponents collected 2.3 card points on average, league average 2.6; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%
our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Won9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%62%O2.572%62%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Hertha2:1Greuther FurthW
- Greuther Furth3:3HerthaD
- Hertha1:0Greuther FurthW
- Greuther Furth2:1HerthaL
- Greuther Furth1:2HerthaW
Hertha's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 17
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.5under 4.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 2
RefereeT. Stieler−0.5 yellow cards vs average24 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)70%11:1coverageleague 54% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 1.3total 3.8Attack/defence1.9 : 1.3total 3.2
Hertha : Greuther FurthMost likely scores
Market1-18%2-19%3-18%2-07%1-0—1-2—3-06%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%3-16%2-08%1-08%1-26%3-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%3-13-18%3-16%2-02-07%2-08%1-01-0—1-08%1-21-2—1-26%3-03-06%3-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%83% | 83% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%62% | 62% |
| Our tip: 1 – Hertha win | 63%52% · Elo 58% | 52%· Elo 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51%40% | 40% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49%60% | 60% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 37%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%38% | 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 19%23% · Elo 23% | 23%· Elo 23% |
| 2 – Greuther Furth win | 18%25% · Elo 19% | 25%· Elo 19% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Hertha attack vs Greuther Furth defenceattack1548defence1465+83 pts to the attack
Greuther Furth attack vs Hertha defenceattack1478defence1507−29 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 11.2 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.567%55%
10.556%52%
11.544%42%
12.534%35%
Each team on its own
Herthawe expect 6.2, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 57%
Greuther Furthwe expect 5.3, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 19.3 in this match, 22.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.539%58%
21.532%55%
22.526%45%
23.520%40%
Each team on its own
Herthawe expect 9.5, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Greuther Furthwe expect 10.8, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 40%
Referee: 18.3 fouls per match on average (18 matches in our data)−2.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.575%67%
3.555%37%
4.536%30%
5.521%15%
Each team on its own
Herthawe expect 3.1, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 79%
Greuther Furthwe expect 1.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Hertha: 6 wins in a row
- Hertha: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Hertha: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Greuther Furth: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 15 | Greuther Furth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hertha vs Greuther Furth?
Hertha 2-1 Greuther Furth (half time 0-0).
Did the Hertha vs Greuther Furth tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Hertha. The tip won.