2. BundesligaMatchday 6

Dresden 1-2 Hertha: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Referee:
Christian Dingert

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won66%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost44%

over 3.5 goals in 2 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (33% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDresden143137%30%Draw24%27%Hertha156339%43%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%63%O2.566%60%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Dresden0:1HerthaL
  2. Hertha2:0DresdenL
  3. Dresden1:0HerthaW
  4. Hertha1:0DresdenL
Dresden's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.2under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.7over 4.5: 50%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 4
RefereeC. Dingert−0.1 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.7total 3.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Dresden : Hertha
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-0—0-15%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-15%0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%82%82%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes67%63%63%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals66%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals56%62%62%
Over 3.5 goals44%38%38%
2 – Hertha win39%36% · Elo 43%36%· Elo 43%
1 – Dresden win37%40% · Elo 30%40%· Elo 30%
Under 2.5 goals34%40%40%
Both teams to score: no33%37%37%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals14%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Dresden attack vs Hertha defenceattack1481defence1500−19 pts to the attack
Hertha attack vs Dresden defenceattack1539defence1474+65 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hertha: 5 wins in a row
  • Dresden: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Hertha: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Hertha770019:821
16Dresden71249:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dresden vs Hertha?

Dresden 1-2 Hertha (half time 1-1).

Did the Dresden vs Hertha tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.