2. BundesligaMatchday 8
Karlsruhe vs Darmstadt: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%63%O2.566%61%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Karlsruhe2:1DarmstadtW
- Darmstadt3:2KarlsruheL
- Darmstadt3:0KarlsruheL
- Karlsruhe3:3DarmstadtD
- Darmstadt2:1KarlsruheL
Karlsruhe's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.3under 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.6total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Karlsruhe : DarmstadtMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-0—0-1—2-05%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%0-16%2-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-1—0-16%2-02-05%2-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67%63% | 63% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%61% | 61% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%58% | 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%61% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%39% | 39% |
| 1 – Karlsruhe win | 43%42% · Elo 36% | 42%· Elo 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%39% | 39% |
| 2 – Darmstadt win | 33%34% · Elo 36% | 34%· Elo 36% |
| Both teams to score: no | 33%37% | 37% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 28% | 24%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Karlsruhe attack vs Darmstadt defenceattack1494defence1482+12 pts to the attack
Darmstadt attack vs Karlsruhe defenceattack1500defence1439+61 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 10.8 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.563%56%
10.551%52%
11.540%41%
12.530%35%
Each team on its own
Karlsruhewe expect 6.0, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 55%
Darmstadtwe expect 4.8, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 72%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 28%over
We expect 25.3 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.578%57%
21.572%54%
22.566%44%
23.559%40%
Each team on its own
Karlsruhewe expect 13.5, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 76%
Darmstadtwe expect 12.1, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%65%
3.543%37%
4.525%30%
5.513%16%
Each team on its own
Karlsruhewe expect 1.9, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Darmstadtwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Darmstadt14 matches without a win awayWent on 78%League 70%Model 67%Record 24
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 17 | Karlsruhe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Karlsruhe vs Darmstadt?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Karlsruhe win 43%, draw 24%, Darmstadt win 33%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Karlsruhe vs Darmstadt?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Karlsruhe 1.8, Darmstadt 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Karlsruhe vs Darmstadt?
The chance that both teams score is 67%.
When is Karlsruhe vs Darmstadt?
The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 18 October 2026, 12:30 (UK time).