2. BundesligaMatchday 8

Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim: prediction, tips and stats

·

Our tips

Tip in 3d 8h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloWolfsburg173455%50%Draw23%26%Heidenheim166223%24%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%61%O2.571%60%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Wolfsburg1:1HeidenheimD
  2. Heidenheim1:3WolfsburgW
  3. Wolfsburg0:1HeidenheimL
  4. Heidenheim1:3WolfsburgW
  5. Heidenheim1:1WolfsburgD
Wolfsburg's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 10.3over 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.5under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.4total 3.7Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.1
Wolfsburg : Heidenheim
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-0—1-2—3-17%2-27%2-06%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%1-27%3-1—2-26%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%1-21-2—1-27%3-13-17%3-1—2-22-27%2-26%2-02-06%2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%71%71%
12 – no draw78%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals71%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes69%61%61%
1 – Wolfsburg win55%46% · Elo 50%46%· Elo 50%
Over 3.5 goals50%37%37%
Under 3.5 goals50%63%63%
X2 – away team avoid defeat46%54%54%
Both teams to score: no31%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals29%41%41%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
2 – Heidenheim win23%30% · Elo 24%30%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals11%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Wolfsburg attack vs Heidenheim defenceattack1552defence1519+33 pts to the attack
Heidenheim attack vs Wolfsburg defenceattack1512defence1508+4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 11.1 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.566%56%
10.554%52%
11.543%41%
12.533%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wolfsburgwe expect 6.0, league average 5.5 · chance of over 5.5: 54%
Heidenheimwe expect 5.3, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 21.1 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.552%57%
21.545%54%
22.538%44%
23.531%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wolfsburgwe expect 11.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
Heidenheimwe expect 10.0, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 31%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 4.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.580%65%
3.562%37%
4.543%30%
5.527%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wolfsburgwe expect 1.2, league average 2.0 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Heidenheimwe expect 2.9, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 77%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wolfsburg: newly promoted
  • Heidenheim: newly promoted
  • Wolfsburg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Heidenheim: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Heidenheim742114:1214
5Wolfsburg733119:1212
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim?

Wolfsburg are the favourites. Chances: Wolfsburg win 55%, draw 23%, Heidenheim win 23%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim?

Expected goals: 3.7 (Wolfsburg 2.3, Heidenheim 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 71%. Most likely score: 2-1.

Will both teams score in Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim?

The chance that both teams score is 69%.

When is Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim?

The 2. Bundesliga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 12:00 (UK time).