2. BundesligaMatchday 7
Nurnberg 4-4 Wolfsburg: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
- Referee:
- Lars Erbst
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5Lost61%
our numbers: 4.1 card points against a league average of 4.9; referee Lars Erbst averages 3.8 card points a match, league average 4.9; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%
our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0
For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5Lost44%
referee Lars Erbst averages 3.8 card points a match, league average 4.9; our numbers: 4.1 card points against a league average of 4.9; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%61%O2.567%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Wolfsburg2:0NurnbergL
- Nurnberg0:2WolfsburgL
- Wolfsburg4:1NurnbergL
- Nurnberg1:1WolfsburgD
- Wolfsburg2:2NurnbergD
Nurnberg's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.3over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 4.5under 4.5: 68%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 6
RefereeL. Erbst−1.6 yellow cards vs average16 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%1X1:2coverageleague 78% · H2H 2/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.7total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.0
Nurnberg : WolfsburgMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%1-0—2-27%2-05%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-2—2-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-0—1-08%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-05%2-07%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%58% | 58% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55%64% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45%36% | 36% |
| 1 – Nurnberg win | 40%44% · Elo 22% | 44%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – Wolfsburg win | 36%32% · Elo 53% | 32%· Elo 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%39% | 39% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Nurnberg attack vs Wolfsburg defenceattack1526defence1520+6 pts to the attack
Wolfsburg attack vs Nurnberg defenceattack1534defence1517+17 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 10.5 in this match, 10.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.559%54%
10.547%51%
11.536%41%
12.526%34%
Each team on its own
Nurnbergwe expect 5.5, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 46%
Wolfsburgwe expect 4.9, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 22.0 in this match, 21.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.558%58%
21.551%54%
22.544%44%
23.537%39%
Each team on its own
Nurnbergwe expect 9.5, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 36%
Wolfsburgwe expect 12.5, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 58%
Referee: 20.7 fouls per match on average (3 matches in our data)
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%66%
3.542%36%
4.524%29%
5.512%15%
Each team on its own
Nurnbergwe expect 2.2, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Wolfsburgwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nurnberg score 2.4 goals per game
- Nurnberg: unbeaten in 11 matches
- Nurnberg: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Wolfsburg: newly promoted
- Nurnberg: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Wolfsburg: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nurnberg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nurnberg vs Wolfsburg?
Nurnberg 4-4 Wolfsburg (half time 0-2).
Did the Nurnberg vs Wolfsburg tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5. The tip lost.