BundesligaMatchday 3
FC Koln 1-1 Werder Bremen: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
- Referee:
- Florian Exner
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost59%
referee Florian Exner averages 4.9 cards a match, league average 3.8
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost40%
referee Florian Exner averages 4.9 cards a match, league average 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%62%O2.562%59%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- FC Koln3:1Werder BremenW
- Werder Bremen1:1FC KolnD
- FC Koln0:1Werder BremenL
- Werder Bremen2:1FC KolnL
- Werder Bremen1:1FC KolnD
FC Koln's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.8over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.2league 3.8over 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 3
RefereeF. Exner+1.0 cards vs average24 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.1
FC Koln : Werder BremenMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-27%1-07%2-07%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-06%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-28%1-01-07%1-07%2-02-07%2-06%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%63% | 63% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%57% | 57% |
| 1 – FC Koln win | 46%43% · Elo 35% | 43%· Elo 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%37% | 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%38% | 38% |
| 2 – Werder Bremen win | 29%33% · Elo 36% | 33%· Elo 36% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
FC Koln attack vs Werder Bremen defenceattack1456defence1486−30 pts to the attack
Werder Bremen attack vs FC Koln defenceattack1443defence1430+13 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Koln concede 2.5 goals per game
- FC Koln: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- FC Koln: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Werder Bremen: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
Werder Bremen
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Koln vs Werder Bremen?
FC Koln 1-1 Werder Bremen (half time 1-0).
Did the FC Koln vs Werder Bremen tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.