BundesligaMatchday 5
Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- An der alten Forsterei, Berlin
- Referee:
- Tobias Reichel
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%59%O2.560%56%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeT. Reichel+0.1 yellow cards vs average16 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%1X1:2coverageleague 73%covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.5total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Union Berlin : ElversbergMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-06%1-28%2-0—0-1—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-07%0-17%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-06%1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-07%0-10-1—0-17%2-22-26%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 66%70% | 70% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%59% | 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Union Berlin win | 39%45% · Elo 57% | 45%· Elo 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%33% | 33% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%42% | 42% |
| 2 – Elversberg win | 35%30% · Elo 19% | 30%· Elo 19% |
| X – draw | 27%25% · Elo 24% | 25%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Union Berlin attack vs Elversberg defenceattack1419defence1457−38 pts to the attack
Elversberg attack vs Union Berlin defenceattack1409defence1453−44 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Union Berlin concede 2.8 goals per game
- Union Berlin: 10 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Union Berlin score a lot late on: 12 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Elversberg: newly promoted
- Union Berlin: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Elversberg: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Union Berlin vs Elversberg?
Union Berlin 1-0 Elversberg (half time 0-0).