Premier DivisionMatchday 34

St. Patricks vs Shelbourne: prediction, tips and stats

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St. Patricks
2-00-22-04-01-0
1.5:0.9Pre-match
Shelbourne
5-11-13-21-20-1

Our tips

Tip in 2d 10h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt. Patricks148761%49%Draw22%28%Shelbourne141117%23%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%46%O2.555%42%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shelbourne1:2St. PatricksW
  2. St. Patricks0:1ShelbourneL
  3. Shelbourne2:3St. PatricksW
  4. Shelbourne0:0St. PatricksD
  5. St. Patricks0:1ShelbourneL
St. Patricks's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.3under 4.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 0.9total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.4
St. Patricks : Shelbourne
Most likely scores
Market1-010%1-111%2-011%2-110%0-0—0-1—3-07%Attack/defence1-013%1-113%2-010%2-19%0-010%0-18%3-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-01-010%1-013%1-11-111%1-113%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-0—0-010%0-10-1—0-18%3-03-07%3-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat83%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals79%68%68%
12 – no draw78%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals68%78%78%
1 – St. Patricks win61%50% · Elo 49%50%· Elo 49%
Over 2.5 goals55%42%42%
Both teams to score: yes52%46%46%
Both teams to score: no48%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals45%58%58%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals32%22%22%
X – draw22%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%32%32%
2 – Shelbourne win17%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Attack vs defence
St. Patricks attack vs Shelbourne defenceattack1551defence1564−13 pts to the attack
Shelbourne attack vs St. Patricks defenceattack1501defence1645−144 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.554%60%
8.541%46%
9.529%30%
10.520%22%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
St. Patrickswe expect 5.2, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 57%
Shelbournewe expect 2.9, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 33%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 20.8 in this match, 21.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.550%53%
21.542%49%
22.536%44%
23.529%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
St. Patrickswe expect 9.3, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Shelbournewe expect 11.4, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.581%78%
2.559%49%
3.537%34%
4.520%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
St. Patrickswe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Shelbournewe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 42%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • St. Patricks concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • St. Patricks: 27 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Shelbourne: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

St. Patricks

Shelbourne

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2St. Patricks32178752:2559
4Shelbourne3310131047:4643
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win St. Patricks vs Shelbourne?

St. Patricks are the favourites. Chances: St. Patricks win 61%, draw 22%, Shelbourne win 17%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in St. Patricks vs Shelbourne?

Expected goals: 2.8 (St. Patricks 1.9, Shelbourne 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in St. Patricks vs Shelbourne?

The chance that both teams score is 52%.

When is St. Patricks vs Shelbourne?

The Premier Division match kicks off 16 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).

See also