Serie AMatchday 3

Bologna 2-2 Sassuolo: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Referee:
Marco Di Bello

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost58%

referee Marco Di Bello averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.8

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon55%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost37%

referee Marco Di Bello averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 3.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBologna183951%47%Draw26%28%Sassuolo177723%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%53%O2.553%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sassuolo0:1BolognaW
  2. Bologna1:1SassuoloD
  3. Bologna4:2SassuoloW
  4. Sassuolo1:1BolognaD
  5. Sassuolo1:1BolognaD
Bologna's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.8under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 17
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.8under 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 4
RefereeM. Di Bello−1.3 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.1total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.7
Bologna : Sassuolo
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-07%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat77%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals77%75%75%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals70%72%72%
Both teams to score: yes55%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals53%50%50%
1 – Bologna win51%51% · Elo 47%51%· Elo 47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals47%50%50%
Both teams to score: no45%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals30%28%28%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
2 – Sassuolo win23%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals23%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Bologna attack vs Sassuolo defenceattack1519defence1447+72 pts to the attack
Sassuolo attack vs Bologna defenceattack1449defence1539−90 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Sassuolo622210:108
14Bologna61235:75
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bologna vs Sassuolo?

Bologna 2-2 Sassuolo (half time 0-1).

Did the Bologna vs Sassuolo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.