Serie AMatchday 4

Lecce 3-2 Monza: prediction, tips and result

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3-2Full time(half time 3-1)
Stadium:
Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare, Lecce
Referee:
Valerio Crezzini

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost58%

under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLecce169334%40%Draw31%30%Monza168335%30%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%48%O2.542%42%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Monza0:0LecceD
  2. Lecce2:1MonzaW
  3. Lecce1:1MonzaD
  4. Monza1:1LecceD
  5. Monza0:1LecceW
Lecce's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeV. Crezzini−0.8 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.2total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Lecce : Monza
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-010%0-110%2-1—1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%0-110%2-18%1-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-012%0-00-010%0-010%0-10-110%0-110%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%78%78%
12 – no draw69%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals69%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%69%69%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals58%58%58%
Both teams to score: no51%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes49%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals42%42%42%
2 – Monza win35%31% · Elo 30%31%· Elo 30%
1 – Lecce win34%41% · Elo 40%41%· Elo 40%
X – draw31%28% · Elo 30%28%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals31%32%32%
Over 3.5 goals21%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Lecce attack vs Monza defenceattack1344defence1411−67 pts to the attack
Monza attack vs Lecce defenceattack1388defence1459−71 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Monza: newly promoted
  • Lecce: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Monza: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Lecce62046:126
16Monza61149:154
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lecce vs Monza?

Lecce 3-2 Monza (half time 3-1).

Did the Lecce vs Monza tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.